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Hi there, I'm Cem!

I am a postdoctoral researcher at New York University Abu Dhabi. My interests lie in Decision Sciences and Behavioral Economics.

Here are some of the questions in my agenda:

  • Decisions in policy/business often rely on surveys & subjective feedback. How can we ensure self-reported data is informative? Can we detect misreports and lies? How can we encourage honesty?
  • Expertise is elusive. Can we consistently identify experts in judgment/decision problems? How should we reward judgment accuracy?
  • Studies in the wisdom of crowds suggest that aggregating diverse judgments improves decision/prediction accuracy. How should we combine disagreeing judgments for best results?

You can find my work, CV and contact information on this website!


Publications & Ongoing work
CV & Contact

Research



Peer prediction markets to elicit unverifiable information

(joint with Aurélien Baillon and Sophie van der Zee)



Extracting the collective wisdom in probabilistic judgments



Incentives for self-extremized expert judgments to alleviate the shared-information problem



Robust recalibration of aggregate probability forecasts using meta-beliefs

(joint with Tom Wilkening)



Using prediction interval skewness to improve forecast accuracy

(joint with Yael Grushka-Cockayne, Victor R.R. Jose, Jacob Rittich and Jack Soll)

  • In progress



You can find my CV here


      E-mail: cem.peker@nyu.edu

"The trouble with having an open mind, of course, is that people will insist on coming along and trying to put things in it"